To Predict Doom, Ignore The Past

An interesting article about scientific predictions of doom. To put it bluntly, it makes the argument that scientists, when predicting scenarios, tend to use and skew data to fit their idea, not the data that really tells the truth. To predict environmental doom, it says, you must first ignore the past.
http://www.realclearscience.com/articles/2012/07/03/to_predict_catastrophe_ignore_the_past_106314.html